Sunday 13 August 2017

Don't forget about the dead balls





How important are dead balls to FPL?


A record 3.8 million players signed up for FPL as the season kicked off, a Game Week 1 record (now over 4 million players). As football fans, we surely want our team to dominant possession tika taka style and score a bakers dozen, as we've seen from the first 2 fixtures of the season, goals will flow but it'll be at both ends of the pitch. We want to look at the dead balls here, the penalties, free kicks and corners, why? Well, look at Pulis. West Brom are the only team I'd prefer to have a defender than a striker for, we only need to look at yesterdays game. A Brunt (5.5m) corner, a Hegazi (4.5m) header, 8 and 15 points respectively. Keep your eye on who's taking corners and who (specifically towering centre backs) is getting on the end of the those crosses.



Penalties


Sometimes a goal scorer isn't a goal scorer. Milner isn't known for his goal scoring attributes, but he scored 7 goals for Liverpool in the League last season, all from the penalty spot, now listed as a defender, his goals are worth 6 points rather than 5. 

Selected players who netted more than 3 pens last season were, Sigurdsson: 3 - 8.5m TSB: 7.7%, Deeney: 3 - 6.5m TSB: 1.0%, Aguero: 4 - 11.5m TSB: 11.2%, Defoe: 5 - 8.0m TSB: 5.6%, Kane: 5 - 12.5m TSB: 37.9%, Milner: 7 - 6.5m TSB: 7.4%

*TSB – teams selected by.

Looking at the newly promoted sides, in the Championship last season Ritchie scored 5 pens for Newcastle and for Brighton, Hemed (6) and Murray (4) buried a few. Huddersfield scored fewer penalties but Lowe and Mooy were both on target.

Clean Sheets


Clean sheets are hard to predict in the Prem (13 goals in the first 2 games of this season, phew!) so which goalkeepers are your best choice? You want those that make saves to get bonus points but it's also worth noting who can save a penalty (keepers get +5 points for a penalty save).

Last season, Forster topped the chart with three saves, but 16 keepers saved at least one penalty last season, among them: Heaton, Mignolet, Fabianski. I recall the season before last, Huerelo Gomes saving two penalties in one game, plus a clean sheet so 16 points before BPS, having him that one game would have meant the difference between finishing 2nd and finishing 1st in my league. 

Let us also not forget about free kicks, that Coutinho goal against Palace, the De Bruyne under the wall kick against Bournemouth or that Sigurdsson goal at Old Trafford. It is difficult to know which player/s from each team to side with, but one thing we know is there are a handful of fouls leading to a number of set pieces. Below is a list of possible dead ball takers.


Club Penalty Takers Direct Free-kicks Corners / Non-Directs
Arsenal Alexis / Lacazette / Giroud / Özil / Welbeck Alexis / Cazorla / Özil / Walcott Özil / Cazorla / Xhaka / Alexis / Chamberlain / Walcott
Bournemouth Wilson / Defoe / King / Stanislas / Afobe / Arter Arter / Fraser Stanislas / Daniels / Fraser / Arter / Pugh / Gradel
Brighton Murray / Hemed Knockaert / Stephens / Gross (the b) / Skalak / March Knockaert / Stephens / Gross / Skalak / March / Dunk / Bruno / Kayal / Murphy
Burnley Vokes / Barnes / Walters Brady / Arfield / Hendrick Brady / Arfield / Defour / Gudmondsson
Chelsea Hazard / Fabregas / Willian / Costa Alonso / Luiz / Willian / Fabregas Willian / Fabregas / Pedro / Hazard
Crystal Palace Milivojevic / Benteke / Cabaye / Wickham Milivojevic / Puncheon / Cabaye / van Aanholt Puncheon / Cabaye / van Aanholt
Everton Baines / Rooney / Barkley / Mirallas Barkley / Rooney / Mirallas / Baines Mirallas / Rooney, Baines / Barkley
Huddersfield Löwe / Mooy Mooy / Ince /Wells / Löwe Löwe, Mooy / Ince / Hefele
Leicester City Mahrez / Slimani / Vardy / Ulloa Mahrez / Fuchs / Drinkwater / Albrighton / Gray Albrighton / Fuchs / Mahrez / Drinkwater / James / Gray
Liverpool Firmino / Milner / Henderson / Sturridge / Coutinho Henderson / Milner / Coutinho / Sturridge Milner / Henderson / Coutinho / Firmino
Man City Aguero / Jesus / Toure / De Bruyne De Bruyne / Silva / Toure De Bruyne / Silva / Sterling
Man Utd Lukaku / Pogba / Mata / Martial Mata / Lindelöf / Lukaku Blind / Mata / Herrera / Young
Newcastle Ritchie / Gayle / Mitrovic Ritchie / Shelvey / Gayle / Atsu Ritchie / Shelvey
Southampton Austin / Gabbiadini / Tadic / Bertrand / Ward-Prowse / Davis Tadic, Ward- Prowse / Redmond / Van Dijk Ward-Prowse / Tadic / Davis / Bertrand
Stoke City Adam / Bojan / Shaqiri Adam / Shaqiri / Arnautovic Allen / Shaqiri / Adam / Affelay
Swansea City Sigurdsson / Abraham Sigurdsson / Carroll Sigurdsson / Carroll / Routledge
Tottenham Hotspur Kane / Janssen / Alli / Lamela Eriksen / Lamela / Kane Eriksen / Lamela / Son
Watford Deeney / Gray Holebas Watson / Capoue / Holebas
West Brom Chadli / Morrison Brunt / Rondon / Morrison Phillips / Brunt / McClean / Morrison
West Ham Noble / Lanzini / Carroll / Arnautovic Noble / Arnautovic / Lanzini / Snodgrass / Cresswell Lanzini / Noble / Arnautovic / Snodgrass / Cresswell

Who was your secret weapon last season? Sigurdsson was mine. Got my eye on Xhaka following his 2 assists.

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I'm not religious, I beleive in equality, karma and supernatural existence.